Free list · 4 targets · as of Nov 11, 2026

Every analyst price target on $NVDA (4)

Who set each NVIDIA target, the rating, what drove it, and the original source. Most useful first, in plain English.

NVIDIA reports fiscal Q3 2027 on Tue Nov 17. Call at 5pm ET. ↗
$200–$400range, current figures
$310median, current
3 of 4still current
Range and median use the 3 current figures (latest per author) (range midpoint used for ranges). Replaced targets are listed but not counted. BeliefState's coverage directory lists 15 NVDA research records from 10 investors (free /v1/tickers, checked Nov 11). This page shows the dated price targets released in our public NVDA research so far.
  1. 1
    fair valueBull

    Morningstar · Brian Colello

    $310 was $280
    Fair value estimate (no buy/sell rating in our record) · Aug 27, 2026

    Why: Raised his long-term fair value after NVIDIA's August earnings, lifting revenue assumptions tied to AI buildouts.

    Source: Morningstar, Aug 27 fair value revision ↗
  2. 2
    price targetBear

    Passage Research

    $200 was $244
    Hold · Oct 2026

    Why: Cut the target from $244 as its outlook for AI spending softened and its earnings estimates fell below consensus. Kept Hold.

    Source: Passage Research, October analysis ↗
  3. 3
    price target rangeBull

    Davis Wilson

    $320–$400
    Not stated in our record · Aug 27, 2026

    Why: Puts 20 to 25 times earnings on roughly $16 of forward EPS. His Aug 29 follow-up left the timing open.

    Source: Davis Wilson, Aug 27 analysis ↗ Aug 29 follow-up ↗
  4. 4
    price targetNeutralreplaced

    Passage Research

    $244
    Hold · Aug 2026

    Why: Expected strong near-term guidance but saw limited catalysts for more upside. Replaced by the October $200 target above.

    Source: Passage Research, August analysis ↗
  5. ★
    primary source

    What NVIDIA itself guided for this quarter

    Revenue of $108.0 billion, plus or minus 2%. GAAP and non-GAAP gross margin of 74.0%, plus or minus 50 basis points. No data center compute revenue from China assumed.

    Source: NVIDIA Q2 FY27 release, Aug 26 ↗

Bull vs bear, in one look

Bull case
  • AI buildouts are speeding up, so revenue assumptions go up (Morningstar).
  • 20 to 25 times about $16 of forward EPS gets you $320 to $400 (Davis Wilson).
Bear case
  • AI spending outlook is softening and earnings estimates could slip below consensus (Passage Research, Oct).
  • Strong guidance may already be priced in, with few catalysts left (Passage Research, Aug).

What to check on earnings day

Pick one driver, like data center revenue or gross margin, and check it against NVIDIA's $108.0B and 74.0% guide on Nov 17. Then look for each author's dated revision.

Source data: BeliefState research: NVIDIA price target changes, reviewed 2026-11-10. Each figure is an individual published estimate in US dollars per share, linked to its original source. BeliefState is a research and recordkeeping tool, not personalized investment advice. Verify material facts against original sources.